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After the Empire: The Breakdown of the American Order : ウィキペディア英語版
After the Empire

''After the Empire: The Breakdown of the American Order'' ((フランス語:Après L'Empire: essai sur la décomposition du système américain)) is a 2001 book by Emmanuel Todd. Todd predicts the fall of the United States as the sole superpower.
Todd examines the fundamental weaknesses of the US to conclude that, contrary to American conventional wisdom, America is fast losing its grip on the world stage in economic, military and ideological terms.〔
==1976 prediction of Soviet collapse==
Todd attracted attention in 1976 when he predicted, at 25 years old, the fall of the Soviet Union, based on indicators such as increasing infant mortality rates. In the late 1970s Todd was widely pronounced "anti-communist", just as, following the publication of "After the Empire", he has been attacked as "anti-American". He challenges these labels and describes himself as a historian and anthropologist first, and it was his concern as a historian rather than political passion that motivated him to write After the Empire. In late 2002 he believed that the world was about to repeat the same mistake that it had made in regards to the Soviet Union during the 1970s—misinterpreting an expansion in US military activity as a sign of its increasing power, when in fact this aggression masks a decline.〔

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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